Newly elected Zambian president Michael Sata has astonishingly called Zimbabwean prime minister and aspiring president Morgan Tsvangirai a ‘Western stooge.’ Even for a man known to be outspoken and cutting in his comments, it was certainly undiplomatic and arguably ill-advised for Sata to say this about the at least nominal head of government of a neighboring country. But beyond the ill-advisability of Sata’s comments, they show just how deeply entrenched this view of Tsvangirai is, even amongst those who might be expected to be his natural supporters and sympathizers.
Speaking to the UK Telegraph, Sata reportedly said, “‘we
don’t know the policies of Morgan – he has other people speaking for him rather
than speaking for himself. There will be elections and Mugabe will go and
someone else will take over but not someone imposed by the Western countries.’
The four year coalition government between President Robert
Mugabe’s ZANU-PF and Prime Minister Tsvangirai’s MDC party is a messy, unhappy,
poorly functioning affair. Mugabe insists elections should be held soon to
resolve the political impasse, while Tsvangirai’s party insists that a new
constitution and many other pre-electoral conditions need to be fixed before
elections which can be said to be free and fair can be held. The regional
Southern Africa Development Community is in charge of overseeing the process of
ensuring agreed conditions for such elections have been met.
On this issue, Sata said, “You people, the Western
countries, you taught us that democracy is elections. Now somebody wants
elections and you say no. There will be elections and Mugabe will go and
someone else will take over, but not someone imposed by the Western countries.”
Sata went on to reiterate his support for the controversial
land reform program under Mugabe, a key element of much of the latter’s
notoriety in the West, including and especially in the pages of British papers
like the Telegraph. Sata used words like
‘imperialists’ and ‘capitalist-roaders’ to describe Western critics of
Mugabe.
Most of the reaction to Sata’s comments has been shock that
he would be so publicly undiplomatic. After all, whatever he may think of
Tsvangirai, he heads one of the two biggest political parties in Zimbabwe.
It is not at all unconceivable that Tsvangirai could be Zimbabwe’s
president in the not too distant future, possibly during Sata’s own time as
president of Zambia.
Sata’s statement means relations between their two governments would likely be
frosty. Sata’s comments go beyond the ‘normal,’ private kind of back-bating
that may take place between regional heads of government.
There are certainly many perspectives from which Sata’s
comments were unstatesman-like and unwise interference in the political affairs
of a neighboring country. While Sata is known and lauded by his admirers for being
frank and plain-spoken, his public comments about Tsvangirai may yet come back
to haunt him.
It is to be expected that Tsvangirai’s supporters reacted to
Sata’s outburst with surprised indignation. Resentment at Sata for the comments
has been the main reaction.
Over and above Sata’s lack of tact, though, there are many
other surprising, instructive elements about his view of Tsvangirai, and his
willingness to go public with them in a very high profile way.
‘Western stooge’ is how Mugabe and ZANU-PF regard
Tsvangirai. This is a charge that is normally dismissed as part of the
propaganda onslaught against Tsvangirai by a Mugabe who flaunts the mantle of
anti-imperialism at every opportunity. But the accusation carries a very
different import when uttered by somebody like Sata. It cannot be simply
shrugged off as part of the ZANU-PF effort to demonize Tsvangirai.
Sata’s comments are a reminder of how deeply entrenched the
impression of Tsvangirai as a willing tool of foreign (Western) interests has
become. Statements and actions by MDC leaders and their Western
sympathizers/supporters over the years have only made this impression stick
tighter, particularly in Africa. Media reports indicate
that in his recently published book, ‘At the deep end,’ Tsvangirai mentions the
early tactical mistakes that led to the spreading of this impression of him and
his party. But this is a trap that Tsvangirai and his party have only sunk
deeper into over the years.
Few Africans can be said to be really ‘anti-Western.’ The
West is influential and widely admired for many things in most of Africa,
even by its many critics. However, ‘Western stooge’ is an accusation with heavy
political, reputation costs in an Africa whose negative
encounters with the Western world are not ancient history. A leader is expected
to have good relations with the powerful and influential Western world, but to
be seen as a slavish errand boy for it is to be stuck with just the kind of
hard-to-shake derision that Sata has directed at Tsvangirai.
Voter antipathy to the ancient, over-staying Mugabe may be
much stronger than any negative sentiment against Tsvangirai for what some find
to be too-close ties to Western power centers who some do not believe to have
the best history/intentions towards Africa. Tsvangirai’s being regarded a
stooge of the West may not prevent him from becoming Zimbabwean president. But judging
by Sata’s sniping, the ‘stooge’ tag would likely follow Tsvangirai right into
the presidential palace, limiting his regional/continental status and influence.
Only an unusually successful economic run as president might eventually
neutralize this, although even that might not do it.
Sata’s predecessor Rupiah Banda was seen as critical of
Mugabe and sympathetic to Tsvangirai. The media have been eagerly looking for
signs of where Sata stands on the matter of Zimbabwe’s
problems, especially in light of SADC’s formal role in resolving them, and of Zambia
being an important neighbor with historically close ties.
On Sata’s coming into office, the state-owned media made
much of his previously expressed support for Zimbabwe’s
land reform, and his strong brand of nationalism, which was likened to that of
Mugabe. The implication was that Sata was Mugabe’s natural soul mate, and would
ease off on Banda’s mild, indirect criticisms of Mugabe.
A few weeks later, the virulently anti-Mugabe private media was
gladdened at the news that Sata would not attend the December 2011 ZANU-PF
conference that appointed Mugabe as its presidential candidate. This was
gleefully taken as a snub of Mugabe by Sata.
But until Sata’s ‘stooge’ statement about Tsvangirai, it had
not been clear whose side Sata was on. It must also be mentioned that his
denigration of Tsvangirai does not necessarily imply uncritical support of
Mugabe.
However, despite his support of Mugabe-orchestrated land
reform, there were many reasons to have thought that Sata might be sympathetic
to Tsvangirai.
Sata’s accession to the Zambian presidency was made possible
by a now well established, deepening democratic process in Zambia.
If his several predecessors had held on to power as tenaciously as Mugabe has
done in Zimbabwe,
Sata would not be president of Zambia
today. Tsvangirai’s long struggle to depose Mugabe at the polls mirrors Sata’s
battles to the top job in Zambia.
Tsvangirai has been ruthlessly thwarted at every turn by Mugabe’s machinery, as
Sata claimed to have happened to him in the past in Zambia.
On this basis Sata may have been expected to have more affinity for Tsvangirai
than Mugabe.
Sata may be an outspoken nationalist, but on no account can
he be said to an anti-Western ideologue in the way that Mugabe had become in
recent years. Sata is pragmatist who has been forced to tone down his
criticisms of the strong Chinese role in Zambia’s
economy, but who has also openly expressed a desire for good and growing
relations with the West. The western political and media establishments reacted
very favorably to Sata’s election, some almost seeming to take the stance that
‘he’s safe, he’s one of ours.’
In late 2011 US
Secretary of State gave her seal of approval of Sata by attending an international
trade meeting in Lusaka. Former US
president George Bush II and his wife visited Lusaka
soon afterwards.
Sata is clearly considered a friend of the West, unlike the
Western-reviled Mugabe. This just serves to make Sata’s accusation of
Tsvangirai as a ‘Western stooge’ even more biting. The Sata who values good
relations with the West feels that Tsvangirai has gone beyond just having good
relations with the West to being their stooge! If anything, this charge coming
from Sata is even more devastating than when it is made by Tsvangirai’s foe
Mugabe, when it could just be dismissed as politicking.
As Tsvangirai is well aware, he has a serious image problem
in Africa and beyond. Being the ‘anti-Mugabe’ in the
West may be good for his party’s finances, but there is clearly also a heavy
political cost to his being perceived as being in the pockets of his Western
backers and sympathizers. It loses Tsvangirai much support that should almost
naturally be his, and will ‘cost’ him in many ways even if he does become
president.
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